NFL

Every NFL team’s record vs. the spread and Week 18 lines

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Betting the final week of the regular season can be intimidating given the number of moving pieces. That said, sportsbooks are having problems of their own and you may be able to exploit a recent weakness.

From 2009 to ’18, under tickets cashed 55.4% of the time in the final week of regular seasons as books struggled to adjust for the decline in talent in some of these spots and the impact that would have on totals. Over the past three seasons, however, overs have come through 70.2% of the time.

Seventy-point-two percent!

That’s an astronomical number, and the average total is below the season average. Will the overcorrection continue and pay out big time for those betting on scoring? Only time will tell, but while you work on determining your stance there, consider a trend for every single team entering the final week of the 2022 regular season …

Saturday 4:30 p.m.



Chiefs ATS: 6-10
O/U: 8-8
What we know about the Chiefs: Since 2015, the Chiefs are the best ATS team in final week of seasons: 6-1 ATS.

Raiders ATS: 8-8
O/U: 8-7-1
What we know about the Raiders: In each of Vegas’ past three wins, over tickets have also cashed.


Saturday 8:15 p.m.



Titans ATS: 8-7-1
O/U: 5-11
What we know about the Titans: November 17. That is the last time the Titans covered a spread (27017 win in Lambeau against a very different looking Packers team).

Jaguars ATS: 8-8
O/U: 8-8
What we know about the Jaguars: The Jags covered their first meeting with the Titans this season and that means they are looking for their first ATS sweep of the Titans since 2014.


Sunday 1 p.m.



Panthers ATS: 8-8
O/U: 8-8
What we know about the Panthers: After three straight unders, over tickets have chased in four consecutive Panther games.

Saints ATS: 7-9
O/U: 6-10
What we know…

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