I feel like a broken record, but it warrants mentioning again: Numerous quarterbacks continue to seem like viable NFL MVP candidates, even as we are a third through the regular season.
Uncovering value in a one-way betting market is always difficult, and bettors often need some luck. But most importantly, you need to avoid bad luck, such as Josh Allen slipping on a quarterback sneak in the game’s final minute. The play could have won the game for the Buffalo Bills and strengthened Allen’s campaign. As if bettors needed another reminder just how fragile this racket can be …
MVP options
So now we have a betting board with reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers somehow with the seventh-shortest odds at 11-1, even though the Green Bay Packers are 5-1 and appear poised for another run at the NFC’s top seed. Lamar Jackson (10-1) is another former MVP who has double-digit odds. The Baltimore Ravens are 5-1, and some feel Jackson is outperforming play from his MVP campaign. That’s how stacked this race is.
Another example is Derrick Henry with 30-1 odds, even though the 6-foot-3, 245-pound star has rushed for at least 113 yards in every game so far and the Tennessee Titans sit in first place. I personally would never bet on a running back, even at these odds, but I could certainly understand if someone did. Only one non-QB has won the MVP in the past 14 years, and that was running back Adrian Peterson with 2,097 yards in 2021. “All Day” also had the bonus of doing it less than one year after tearing an ACL. Narratives do matter.
Matthew Stafford remains an intriguing play for me at 10-1. I think the Los Angeles Rams are part of the conversation for the league’s best team and have a path to the 1-seed. I mention that because a team’s finish will likely play a major role in voting. Not only have nine of the 13 previous QB winners come from a 1- or 2-seed but it could…
Source : espn
