NFL Week 7 betting notes

Week 7 features several teams and players looking to continue their recent success as underdogs, including both New York squads. Brian Daboll and the New York Giants are 4-0 outright as underdogs this season. Daboll looks to join Bill Cowher as the only coaches in the Super Bowl era to win in each of their first five games in the underdog role.

The New York Jets are underdogs again in Denver, but it’s by their smallest spread (1) so far this season. The Jets are the second team in the Super Bowl era to have a winning record through six games despite being underdogs in every game. If Brett Rypien starts for the Broncos and the Jets close as favorites, it will be the first time the Jets are road favorites since Week 4 of 2020, when Rypien made his only other NFL start.

The Atlanta Falcons have also been underdogs in every game this season, covering every time. They look to match the 2021 Dallas Cowboys and the 2018 Kansas City Chiefs for the longest cover streaks to begin a season in the past decade.

Jimmy Garoppolo and the San Francisco 49ers are underdogs for the first time all season. No quarterback in the Super Bowl era has a better cover percentage or winning percentage as an underdog than Garoppolo (minimum 15 starts).

The biggest underdog to win outright this season came last week, when the Pittsburgh Steelers (+9.5) upset Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This week, the Buccaneers are the first double-digit road favorite all season against the Carolina Panthers. Tom Brady is 13-1 ATS after losing as at least a seven-point favorite in his previous game. Underdogs continue to cash this season at a 58.4 percent rate. It is the eighth straight season underdogs have been over .500 through Week 6. Unders are even more profitable, cashing 60.2 percent of the time, which is the highest over or under percentage through Week 6 since 1991.