[ad_1]
In the regular season, underdogs (53%) and unders (52%) were both profitable. Recently in wild-card weekend, both have been successful. Underdogs are 15-3 ATS in wild-card games over the past four seasons, and since divisional realignment in 2002, unders have come through 60% of the time.
This weekend likely features the biggest underdog in the history of wild-card weekend with the Kansas City Chiefs favored over the Pittsburgh Steelers. Pittsburgh has not been this big of an underdog since Super Bowl XXX in 1995. History is against the Steelers, as double-digit home favorites are 7-0 ATS in the wild-card round.
This week also features two divisional rematches as the New England Patriots visit the Buffalo Bills and the Arizona Cardinals face the Los Angeles Rams. Since 2014, underdogs are 7-0 ATS in divisional rematches in the postseason (5-2 outright). Arizona was 6-0 outright as an underdog in the regular season, the best mark in the Super Bowl era.
Regular-season stats
Favorites: 126-140-3 ATS (.474); 169-99-1 SU
Home teams: 129-140-3 ATS (.480); 140-131-1 SU
Unders: 144-125-3 (.535) this season
Las Vegas Raiders at Cincinnati Bengals (-5.5), Saturday, 4:30 ET
-
Las Vegas was 8-9 ATS this season (9-8 unders). Cincinnati was 10-7 ATS (8-8-1 over/unders).
-
Derek Carr is 19-13 ATS as an underdog over the past three seasons.
-
Las Vegas is 6-1 ATS and 5-2 outright in its past seven games as an underdog of at least five points (since Week 5 of last season).
-
Cincinnati has covered five straight and 10 of its past 12 games against Las Vegas. When these two teams faced off in November, Cincinnati won and covered as two-point favorites, 32-13.
-
Cincinnati has covered three straight games as an underdog (2-1 SU).
-
Cincinnati has lost eight straight playoff games (1-7 ATS) with its last win coming back in 1990. Cincinnati scored 17 or fewer points in each game.
-
Since 2017, teams favored by at least five points in the wild-card round are 1-10 ATS and 5-6 outright.
New England Patriots at…
[ad_2]
Source : espn
