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What are the odds? Breaking down the likelihood of the UFC’s most burning storylines

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Do you feel that? That, my friends, is the feeling of a brand new calendar year of MMA. A year in which anything seems possible.

It’s time to dream big for 2022. We’ve got a fresh slate. The table is set for some incredible fights, breakthrough performances and stories that will go down in the history books.

But let’s also be realistic. Some of our wildest dreams will happen, no doubt. Others won’t come close, due to a wide range of circumstances.

At this time of the year, the brief window in which the fighting world comes to a halt, headlines are filled with speculation and possibility, but it can be hard to separate the likely from the unlikely. That’s where I come in. Some of these answers will give you hope. Others will disappoint. And even if something is on the precipice of happening, until the Octagon door closes, nothing is for certain.

For now, there’s plenty to be hopeful for this year in the UFC, so let’s dig into the chances of each of these key storylines becoming a reality in 2022.

What are the chances … Conor McGregor fights Nate Diaz?

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1:45

Dana White discusses the process of securing Nate Diaz his next UFC fight, the final on his current contract.

Okamoto says: 75%

It’s on my list of fights I want to see in 2022, and I feel good about its chances. Diaz has one fight left on his UFC contract and by all accounts, he’s eager to book it and then see what his options are in free agency. A fight between Diaz and Dustin Poirier is certainly possible, and I believe the UFC will consider that. But if McGregor is due back early summer, my gut tells me that’s the one. The trilogy just makes so much sense in 2022. Not a slam dunk, but I’m going a strong 75% here.


What are the chances … Jon Jones fights at least twice?

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1:05

Jon Jones expects to return to the UFC in the second quarter of 2022 and would like to face the winner of Francis Ngannou vs. Ciryl Gane.

Okamoto says: 30%

Well, he’s definitely not fighting more than twice. There’s a better chance…

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Source : espn

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